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    Get your daily round-up of markets, macroeconomic trends, and global shifts through the Daily Macro Lens.

    • Financial Conditions Signal Fed Tightening Has Gone Too Far

      November 25, 2025

      The US financial conditions index reveals a troubling shift toward restrictive monetary conditions, creating headwinds for asset performance across markets. This tightening has intensified over recent weeks, driven by two key factors.

    • September Labour Report Unlikely to Move the Fed’s Needle

      November 24, 2025

      The much-awaited September labour market report showed an upside surprise to payrolls and to the unemployment rate. Despite these mixed signals, we think that this report has little-to-no impact on monetary policy for the remainder of the year.

    • 157 and Rising?

      November 21, 2025

      With the formal supplementary budget announcement coming today, USD/JPY rising past 157 levels is in focus. We expect near term weakness in JPY to sustain before seeing some gradual appreciation in Q1 2026.

    • Gold’s Journey in the Post-Covid Period

      November 20, 2025

      Gold prices have defied traditional economic relationships since 2022, continuing to rise despite aggressive rate hikes and USD strength. Central banks have dramatically increased gold purchases fivefold, driven by geopolitical uncertainty and concerns of sanctions. This de-dollarization trend, combined with Trump's tariff policies and debt monetization worries, continues supporting gold's remarkable rally.

    • Are US Equities Flying too Close to the Sun?

      November 19, 2025

      US equities maintain their bull run despite AI overheating concerns and recent volatility. Strong fundamentals and massive chip orders suggest resilience, though elevated valuations warrant caution.

    Contributor

     

    Gareth Nicholson

    CIO and Head Discretionary Portfolio Management

    Disclaimer

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