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    CIO Corner

    Weekly Investment Themes

    Navigate the market landscape using CIO Office's Weekly Investment Themes, highlighting the week's crucial themes.

    • The AI, Rates, and Energy Confluence

      September 22, 2026

      Global tightening converged last week as the Fed and BoJ hiked to multi-year highs, oil surged on Gulf tensions, while credit risk seems to be budilding up gradually underneath the surface. Following calls from major AI companies' CEOs, positioning in AI requires stack-level differentiation. In Fixed income, cash bonds offer attractive all-in yields post-FOMC, and HY-IG spreads sit near historic tights. This week, Wednesday's Flash PMIs and Thursday's central bank decisions will shape positioning into August PCE data and month-end.

    • Navigating September Pressure Points

      September 15, 2026

      Mid-September brings heightened macro uncertainty: Middle East tensions have driven Brent crude up 20%, pressuring bond yields globally, while the Fed prepares to hike amid sticky inflation and hawkish signals from Chair Warsh. Concurrently, calls AI capex moderation from key tech leaders signals a potential shift in the market's dominant theme for the last two years. Investors should embrace higher inflation as structural, monetize rate volatility, and deploy hedges to navigate this macro-volatile environment.

    • Markets Navigate Policy Crossroads

      September 08, 2026

      This and next week bring critical macro events: US PPI (10th), CPI (11th), FOMC meeting (17th), and BoJ meeting (18th). The September Fed decision hinges on single data points amid high policy uncertainty, with USD, yields, and JPY as key focus assets. The economy likely doesn't warrant a hike; cyclical assets and credit spreads merit close watch. Fundamentally, equity earnings remain double-digit despite multiple compression. Inflation persists as a supply-side issue, with yields biased higher without derailing growth. Technology already priced rate hike fears through August declines.

    Contributors

    CIO Office

     

    Julia Wang CIO North Asia

    Tathagata Bhar
    NSFSPL
    Anuragh Balajee
    NSFSPL

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