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    CIO Corner

    Weekly Investment Themes

    Navigate the market landscape using CIO Office's Weekly Investment Themes, highlighting the week's crucial themes.

    • Tactical Opportunities Amid Market Drift

      August 18, 2026

      Markets drift amid geopolitical tensions and thin liquidity as investors await the Fed's September meeting. Chair Warsh's inflation-first stance and elevated long-end yields signal a cautious path forward. Tactical opportunities emerge in recently unloved sectors—semiconductors, Taiwan, Korea—while commodities rally. Stay active and nimble through this inflection point.

    • A Conditional Relief Rally

      August 11, 2026

      Markets rallied to record highs on a relief rally layered on genuine earnings strength, as easing Iran tensions and a weak jobs print removed two feared outcomes. But both reliefs are conditional: Brent has rebounded to $87 as Hormuz talks stall, and the labour-market relief holds only if July’s job contraction proves a pause. The geopolitical relief is already unwinding amid another "stalemate" in negotiations. Wednesday’s CPI is the pivot that decides whether the relief extends or fades.

    • A Pause, Not a Resolution

      July 28, 2026

      Markets whipsawed on geopolitics and AI earnings last week. Tuesday opened firm — the S&P 500 rose 0.89% to 7,509, lifted by strong earnings from 3M and General Motors—before escalating US-Iran tensions triggered a sharp reversal. Thursday's selloff—S&P down 1.21%, Nasdaq down 2.15%—was driven by Alphabet's first negative free-cash-flow quarter and Tesla's 14% collapse, while oil spiked near $98-100 and the 10Y yield touched 4.71%. However, relief came as the US suspended strikes, but Wednesday's FOMC looms large: markets price roughly one-in-three odds of a hike, with the Hormuz–Bab el-Mandeb chokepoint remaining the dominant tail risk.

    Contributors

    CIO Office

     

    Julia Wang CIO North Asia

    Tathagata Bhar
    NSFSPL
    Anuragh Balajee
    NSFSPL

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